6

Lovely Des Brouets

5yo Filly · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Saveurs De Nos Fermes - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Capelle 23/09/2024 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 023/09C?C0 @ Strasbourg 25/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 28/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/06C?C0 @ La Capelle 25/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 05/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/09C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 01/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/08C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Vincennes?9th9th0
2026-02-16Vincennes40
2026-01-20Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-01-01Vincennes?5th5th0
2025-12-07Vincennes?0
2025-11-25Chartres?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0925/071/0131/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20246th50/10%64%+0.64
25/10/20249th28/10%33%+0.33
28/06/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
25/07/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
05/09/20254th6/492%67%-0.25
08/11/20254th7/282%80%-0.02
01/01/20265th50/10%69%+0.69
20/01/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
31/08/20269th66/10%27%+0.27