13
Lutece
5yo Filly · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Saveurs De Nos Fermes - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |