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16

Lutece Ringeat

5yo Filly · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Saveurs De Nos Fermes - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#13

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Capelle 25/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/07C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 08/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 08/11C?C0 @ Reims 23/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 023/11C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 07/03C?5 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/055C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y 022/06C?C0 @ La Capelle 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30La Capelle?6th6th0
2026-06-22Le Croise-Laroche?2nd2nd0
2026-05-08La Capelle55th5th0
2026-03-07Le Croise-Laroche?5th5th0
2025-11-23Reims?6th6th0
2025-11-08Le Croise-Laroche?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/077/0330/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -11.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20257th80/10%57%+0.57
08/11/20258th40/10%53%+0.53
23/11/20256th22/10%67%+0.67
07/03/20265th17/255%64%+0.08
08/05/20265th22/10%64%+0.64
22/06/20262nd9/488%93%+0.05
30/07/20266th10/382%62%-0.21