5
L'alpha De Launi
5yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | La Capelle | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Reims | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 05/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 29/01/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |