12

L'incorruptible

5yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 01/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/11C?C0 @ Laval 15/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/11C?C0 @ Chartres 15/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m88y Std 015/03C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 24/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 024/03C?C0 @ Caen 15/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 015/06C?6 @ Pornichet 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/076C0 @ Craon 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 07/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Craon?5th5th0
2026-07-02Pornichet68th8th0
2026-06-15Caen?7th7th0
2026-06-02Les Sables?0
2026-04-23Laval?0
2026-03-24Maure De Bretagne?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1124/037/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20252nd9/153%91%+0.38
15/11/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
15/03/20264th12/137%77%+0.40
24/03/20264th7/163%75%+0.12
15/06/20267th50/10%57%+0.57
02/07/20268th10/147%46%-0.01
07/09/20265th11/142%76%+0.34