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15

L'original

5yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#15

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 01/11/2024 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y 01/11C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 16/12/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 016/12C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 31/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/03C?C0 @ La Capelle 06/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06/07C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-07-25La Capelle?0
2025-07-06La Capelle?7th7th0
2025-06-09Reims?0
2025-05-04La Capelle?0
2025-04-07Amiens?0
2025-03-31Le Croise-Laroche?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1116/1231/036/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/202411th50/10%29%+0.29
16/12/20247th50/10%40%+0.40
31/03/20258th80/10%50%+0.50
06/07/20257th40/10%25%+0.25