10

Laios Du Goutier

5yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#1

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

78%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 16/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 016/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 18/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 15/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 015/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ La Capelle 06/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 06/04C?C0 @ Laval 30/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 16/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 016/05C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 04/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 05 @ La Capelle 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 019/065projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19La Capelle51st1st0
2026-05-04Meslay Du Maine?8th8th0
2025-05-16Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-04-30Laval?2nd2nd0
2025-04-06La Capelle?4th4th0
2025-03-10Caen?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0931/0116/0519/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20247th11/142%50%+0.08
18/11/20243rd66/10%86%+0.86
15/01/20258th22/10%50%+0.50
31/01/20257th10/147%14%-0.33
06/04/20254th33/10%77%+0.77
30/04/20252nd16/116%91%+0.75
16/05/20258th20/10%30%+0.30
04/05/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
19/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63