IvyArcIvyArc
9

Lenny Du Pont

5yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#14

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Reims 09/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 09/06C?6 @ Reims 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 014/0365 @ Mauquenchy 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04/065C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Std 07/07C?6 @ Mauquenchy 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 023/076C0 @ La Capelle 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/07C?C0 @ La Capelle 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 02/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02La Capelle?5th5th0
2026-08-22Vincennes50
2026-07-30La Capelle?6th6th0
2026-07-23Mauquenchy63rd3rd0
2026-07-07La Capelle?6th6th0
2026-06-04Mauquenchy52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/067/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20257th28/10%14%+0.14
14/03/20264th16/116%75%+0.59
04/06/20262nd33/10%90%+0.90
07/07/20266th50/10%62%+0.62
23/07/20263rd50/10%86%+0.86
30/07/20266th12/137%58%+0.21
02/09/20265th25/10%73%+0.73