14

Lockdown Power

5yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Capelle 07/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 07/04C?C0 @ La Capelle 27/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 23/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 023/09C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 10/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 25/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/11C?C0 @ La Capelle 11/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 25/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/07C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 22/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y 022/06C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-22Le Croise-Laroche?7th7th0
2026-03-23Le Croise-Laroche?0
2025-07-25La Capelle?9th9th0
2025-07-11La Capelle?8th8th0
2025-03-31Le Croise-Laroche?0
2024-11-25Le Croise-Laroche?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0410/1125/0722/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/04/20241st6/168%100%+0.32
27/08/20244th25/10%70%+0.70
23/09/20243rd6/168%86%+0.17
10/11/20244th50/10%77%+0.77
25/11/20247th22/10%54%+0.54
11/07/20258th50/10%46%+0.46
25/07/20259th40/10%38%+0.38
22/06/20267th80/10%57%+0.57