3
Lord Des Granges
5yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 91% | +0.86 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 46% | -0.14 |
| 18/04/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |