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6

Lord On Way

5yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/02C?C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14318 @ Pornichet 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 02/0718C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 09/08C?6 @ Divonne Les Bains 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 06 @ Pornichet 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 027/0866 @ Lyon-Parilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04/096projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Lyon-Parilly61st1st0
2026-08-27Pornichet61st1st0
2026-08-20Divonne Les Bains63rd3rd0
2026-08-09Divonne Les Bains?1st1st0
2026-07-28Cabourg?0
2026-07-21Cabourg?16th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0221/0727/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20254th22/10%70%+0.70
11/05/20267th14/126%54%+0.28
02/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
21/07/202616th16/116%0%-0.16
09/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
20/08/20263rd2/189%87%-0.03
27/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/09/20261st5/493%100%+0.07