4
Lucky Cynasoso
5yo Colt · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Office De Tourisme De Thierache - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Feurs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Saint Galmier | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Lyon La Soie | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 08/09/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 62% | -0.23 |
| 19/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/01/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 09/08/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |