8

Jagger Danica

7yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Le Coin Des Sens - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#9

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Malo 05/06/2022 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05/06C?C0 @ Caen 23/09/2022 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 06/10/2022 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 06/10C?C0 @ Vichy 05/08/2023 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Lyon La Soie 11/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/11C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 14/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 014/04C?C0 @ Cherbourg 18/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 07 @ Pornichet 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 013/087projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Pornichet73rd3rd0
2025-09-05Vincennes?0
2025-08-18Cherbourg?8th8th0
2025-04-14Argentan?4th4th0
2025-03-08Bordeaux Le Bouscat?3rd3rd0
2024-11-11Lyon La Soie?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/065/0814/0413/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength47%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20227th14/126%54%+0.28
23/09/202210th33/10%40%+0.40
06/10/20228th28/10%42%+0.42
05/08/202310th7/163%10%-0.53
11/11/20241st13/891%100%+0.09
08/03/20253rd12/137%80%+0.43
14/04/20254th4/179%82%+0.03
18/08/20258th66/10%42%+0.42
13/08/20263rd66/10%83%+0.83