13

Jappelou
7yo Gelding · 0-0
La Capelle · Prix Le Coin Des Sens - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#12
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Amiens | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Reims | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 25/07/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 27/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 28/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |