13

Jappelou

7yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Le Coin Des Sens - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#12

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Amiens 12/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 012/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 17/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 017/08C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 11/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 24/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 024/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 10/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 27/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 027/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 06 @ Amiens 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 010/076projClass-projected finish: 14th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Amiens66th6th0
2026-05-25Reims?0
2026-04-28Vincennes?7th7th0
2025-10-27Le Croise-Laroche?8th8th0
2025-10-10Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-09-24Lisieux?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0611/0927/1010/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20257th9/488%50%-0.38
25/07/20257th50/10%60%+0.60
17/08/20253rd22/10%78%+0.78
11/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
24/09/20253rd5/287%86%-0.01
10/10/20258th14/126%36%+0.10
27/10/20258th12/137%53%+0.16
28/04/20267th25/10%50%+0.50
10/07/20266th4/179%44%-0.35