15

Jarvis

7yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Le Coin Des Sens - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#10

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Mauquenchy 11/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/09C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 29/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Reims 11/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 011/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 10/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 02/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 18/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 018/01C?5 @ Mauquenchy 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 25/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/08C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25La Capelle?6th6th0
2026-07-23Mauquenchy56th6th0
2026-01-18Vincennes?10th10th0
2025-12-30Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2025-12-02Mauquenchy?1st1st0
2025-11-10Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0910/1118/0125/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20253rd7/282%78%-0.04
29/09/20254th5/174%77%+0.03
11/10/20256th11/486%55%-0.31
10/11/20253rd9/153%83%+0.31
02/12/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
30/12/20252nd12/137%92%+0.55
18/01/202610th3/184%25%-0.59
23/07/20266th28/10%62%+0.62
25/08/20266th13/266%58%-0.07