14

Jasmine De Grez

7yo Mare · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Le Coin Des Sens - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cholet 28/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 028/04C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Laval 15/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/09C?C0 @ Cabourg 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 025/10C?C0 @ Agen 03/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 24/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 024/03C?6 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 015/085projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Meslay Du Maine56th6th0
2026-07-25Le Mans69th9th0
2026-03-24Maure De Bretagne?3rd3rd0
2026-03-03Agen?12th12th0
2025-12-23Argentan?0
2025-11-07Laval?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/044/1024/0315/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/20257th50/10%57%+0.57
25/07/20255th22/10%73%+0.73
15/09/20256th15/261%64%+0.04
04/10/20254th15/261%80%+0.19
25/10/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
03/03/202612th11/893%15%-0.77
24/03/20263rd25/10%88%+0.88
25/07/20269th25/10%33%+0.33
15/08/20266th20/10%44%+0.44