12

Just A Dollar

7yo Gelding · 0-0

La Capelle · Prix Le Coin Des Sens - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ La Capelle 27/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/08C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 02/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 022/04C?C0 @ La Capelle 25/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 26/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/08C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 06/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06/12C?C0 @ La Capelle 30/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2026-07-30La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2026-07-20La Capelle?0
2026-06-14La Capelle?0
2025-12-15Le Croise-Laroche?0
2025-12-06Vincennes?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0825/076/1225/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/08/20241st15/261%100%+0.39
02/10/20247th9/276%60%-0.16
22/04/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
25/07/20254th15/890%70%-0.20
26/08/20259th28/10%38%+0.38
08/11/20252nd5/287%93%+0.06
06/12/202511th33/10%23%+0.23
30/07/20262nd5/174%92%+0.18
25/08/20262nd7/163%92%+0.29