Parading
2yo Colt · 9-1 · OR 66
Leicester · HSBC UK Agriculture Nursery · 1m 53y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Leicester | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Leicester | 2 | 10th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |