6

Q T Boy

2yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 60

Leicester · HSBC UK Agriculture Nursery · 1m 53y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved since handicapping, building on soft-ground Chepstow second when going one place better at Bath (1m, good) 8 days ago. Should be very competitive under a 6 lb penalty.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f12y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS13/0744 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f12y GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/0743 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f80y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS12/0836 @ Chepstow 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 58 · 7f16y Goo 129 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 58 par29/086OR 586 @ Bath 13/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 60 · 1m Gd 130 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 60 par13/096OR 60projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Bath61st2nd1
2026-08-29Chepstow62nd3rd1
2026-08-12Ffos Las34th2nd+2
2026-07-27Windsor47th6th+1
2026-07-13Windsor412th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0727/0712/0829/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/202612th28/10%0%0.00
27/07/20267th125/10%0%0.00
12/08/20264th250/10%40%+0.40
29/08/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
13/09/20261st6/492%100%+0.08