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10

Babzini

2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 68

Leicester · Racing Bet-Builder At Spreadex Sports Fillies' Nursery · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#12

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Reached frame in 2 of her 3 qualifying runs and one of a few potential improvers in nurseries in this line-up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength80%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Salisbury 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS3/0524 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0544 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS5/084projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Yarmouth44th3rd+1
2026-05-22Goodwood46th5th+1
2026-05-03Salisbury23rd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0522/055/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20263rd18/15%60%+0.55
22/05/20266th11/271%29%-0.42
05/08/20264th18/15%67%+0.61