12

Seed Ya Later

2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 66

Leicester · Racing Bet-Builder At Spreadex Sports Fillies' Nursery · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't kicked on since winning maiden at Musselburgh in April and she has started to show some quirks in recent outings, missing the break again when 2 lengths third of 7 in 6f Ffos Las nursery (good to firm) 25 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bath 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f10y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS17/0443 @ Musselburgh 26/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Bath 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f10y Fm 13212/0554 @ Nottingham 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f8y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 69 par2 @ Newbury 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 24 · OR 67 · 5f34y GF 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 67 par18/072OR 675 @ Lingfield 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 6f Goo 127 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Wolverhampton 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f20y Std 129 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 67 par17/085OR 675 @ Ffos Las 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 6f Gd 128 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 67 par27/085OR 67projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Ffos Las53rd3rd0
2026-08-17Wolverhampton54th4th0
2026-08-01Lingfield53rd3rd0
2026-07-18Newbury27th3rd+3
2026-07-02Nottingham46th5th+1
2026-05-12Bath53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/042/0717/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20262nd10/147%92%+0.44
26/04/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
12/05/20263rd15/890%67%-0.23
02/07/20266th11/271%17%-0.54
18/07/20267th100/10%74%+0.74
01/08/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
17/08/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
27/08/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04