7
Sheer Beauty
2yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 69
Leicester · Racing Bet-Builder At Spreadex Sports Fillies' Nursery · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -35.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |