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9

Star Bayside Boy

2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 68

Leicester · Racing Bet-Builder At Spreadex Sports Fillies' Nursery · 6f

#15

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In need of the experience on debut for Richard Hughes and showed the benefit of that run for new yard when winning 6-runner novice at Windsor (6f) last month. Faded in 7f Newbury nursery since and connections waste no time returning her to sprinting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 5f21y Goo 12815/0655 @ Windsor 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f12y GF 1223/0855 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 69 · 7f GF 129 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 69 par26/085OR 69projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Newbury510th10th0
2026-08-03Windsor51st1st0
2026-06-15Windsor511th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/063/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +42.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/202611th11/271%17%-0.54
03/08/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
26/08/202610th22/10%31%+0.31