Tallahassee Lassie
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 62
Leicester · Racing Bet-Builder At Spreadex Sports Fillies' Nursery · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Newmarket | 2 | 10th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Ffos Las | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Leicester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Goodwood | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |