Troublesome Guest
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 74
Leicester · Racing Bet-Builder At Spreadex Sports Fillies' Nursery · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 1 | 8th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 13th | 8th | +4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | 2 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -34.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/06/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |