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2

Allaire

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 82

Leicester · S & D Bookmakers Ltd 60 Years In Business - EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

80%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Half-sister to St Leger winner Eldar Eldarov. Only beaten by useful types at Lingfield/Newbury before being found out in listed company at the latter track in May. Still early days for excellent yard and could play a hand if taking a step forward on return to calmer waters.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 15/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m1y Std 12815/1253 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f Gd 12817/0431 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS16/051projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Newbury16th3rd+2
2026-04-17Newbury32nd2nd0
2025-12-15Lingfield52nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1217/0416/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -38.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20252nd7/282%90%+0.08
17/04/20262nd7/491%92%+0.02
16/05/20266th6/168%0%-0.68