6

Maldives

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 80

Leicester · S & D Bookmakers Ltd 60 Years In Business - EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

2,900,000 Camelot filly who made a promising start when runner-up in 1¼m novice at Yarmouth. Trailed the field in listed/Group 2 company subsequently. Shortlist material tasked with a more realistic assignment on return from 13 weeks away.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.4
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Yarmouth 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f23y Gd 12311/0431 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0511 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f211y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/061projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Royal Ascot111th8th+3
2026-05-03Newmarket16th3rd+2
2026-04-11Yarmouth32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/043/0518/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength54%

Delivery trend -8.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
03/05/20266th15/261%0%-0.61
18/06/202611th50/10%9%+0.09