8

Summer In Paris

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 76

Leicester · S & D Bookmakers Ltd 60 Years In Business - EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best of her 4 runs when 3½ lengths fourth in useful Newmarket maiden. Too free on final start for James Owen at Windsor (1m) in May. Bred to be suited by this step up in trip and could do better if settling on stable debut/return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/0925 @ Wolverhampton 28/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m142y Std 12828/1052 @ Newmarket 15/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS15/0424 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m31y GF 129 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 77 par23/054OR 77projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-23Windsor46th7th1
2026-04-15Newmarket24th3rd+1
2025-10-28Wolverhampton55th7th2
2025-09-27Newmarket24th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0928/1015/0423/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20254th11/142%57%+0.15
28/10/20255th7/282%43%-0.39
15/04/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
23/05/20266th9/153%29%-0.24