8

Summer In Paris
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 76
Leicester · S & D Bookmakers Ltd 60 Years In Business - EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Newmarket | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 28/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |