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6

Alkuwarrior

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 67

Leicester · Pattinson Auction Winning Bid Handicap · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Transformed by first-time cheekpieces when doubling his tally in 8-runner event at Ffos Las (5f, soft) in June but hasn't reproduced that level in 5 subsequent starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 18/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 76 · 5f21y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/08/2025 · OR 76 par18/084OR 764 @ Bath 27/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 74 · 5f10y Fm 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 71 · 6f12y GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 71 par23/054OR 715 @ Ffos Las 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 68 · 5f GS 131 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 75 · 5f21y GF 135 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 75 par27/065OR 755 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 74 · 5f21y GF 137 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Chepstow 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 74 · 5f16y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 74 par6/084OR 745 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 6f Gd 133 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 69 · 5f21y Std 136 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 69 par7/095OR 69projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton56th6th0
2026-08-21Ffos Las56th6th0
2026-08-06Chepstow45th4th+1
2026-07-27Windsor57th7th0
2026-06-27Windsor55th5th0
2026-06-04Ffos Las51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/084/066/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20259th33/10%0%0.00
27/04/20269th40/10%0%0.00
23/05/202614th50/10%0%0.00
04/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
27/06/20265th14/126%33%+0.07
27/07/20267th14/126%40%+0.14
06/08/20265th28/10%33%+0.33
21/08/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
07/09/20266th12/137%38%+0.01