12

Bleep Test

3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 58

Leicester · Pattinson Auction Winning Bid Handicap · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Timeform

Commentary

Won a 6f Redcar maiden last season but hasn't offered much in her 5 outings this season.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 13/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS13/0624 @ Pontefract 22/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR - · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Carlisle 25/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 5f182y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2025 · OR 84 par25/062OR 844 @ Hamilton 17/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 83 · 5f7y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 83 par4 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 80 par27/064OR 804 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 77 · 5f182y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 72 par25/074OR 725 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 68 · 5f217y Goo 128 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 68 par6 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 63 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 63 par9/096OR 63projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar613th14th1
2026-08-08Redcar57th7th0
2026-07-25York412th11th+1
2026-07-09Carlisle48th7th+1
2026-06-27York411th10th+1
2025-07-17Hamilton44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0617/0725/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20252nd11/486%83%-0.02
22/06/20252nd85/4089%50%-0.39
25/06/20253rd13/266%50%-0.16
17/07/20254th3/184%0%-0.84
27/06/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
09/07/20268th22/10%0%0.00
25/07/202612th33/10%0%0.00
08/08/20267th20/10%0%0.00
09/09/202613th40/10%14%+0.14