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9

Maid In Devon

3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 65

Leicester · Pattinson Auction Winning Bid Handicap · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed improved form to rattle off a 6f hat-trick over the summer. Creditable third of 11 at Windsor on penultimate start and possibly not helped by being caught on the far flank of the group when sixth of 12 at Salisbury since. Back on last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Nottingham 02/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f8y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/1046 @ Wolverhampton 31/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 54 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark31/03/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 53 · 5f8y Goo 128 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 53 par18/046OR 536 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 52 · 6f Goo 127 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 57 · 6f Sft 128 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 57 par9/066OR 574 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 6f16y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 67 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 67 par25/075OR 675 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 67 · 6f12y GF 134 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 66 · 6f Sft 131 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 66 par11/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Salisbury56th6th0
2026-08-13Windsor53rd3rd0
2026-07-25Salisbury56th6th0
2026-07-03Chepstow41st0th+1
2026-06-09Salisbury61st2nd−1
2026-05-14Salisbury61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1014/0525/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20256th80/10%17%+0.17
31/03/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
18/04/20265th17/255%75%+0.20
14/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
09/06/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
03/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
25/07/20266th7/491%44%-0.46
13/08/20263rd3/184%80%-0.04
11/09/20266th5/174%55%-0.19