2
Mumayaz
7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 67
Leicester · Pattinson Auction Winning Bid Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Newmarket | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Leicester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Salisbury | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |