3

Travel Agent

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 67

Leicester · Pattinson Auction Winning Bid Handicap · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Recorded back-to-back wins on the all-weather in April. Also second on turf at Lingfield (6f, good to firm) in May. Better than result when fifth on all-weather last twice and back on a workable mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 64 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 64 par17/046OR 645 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 68 · 6f1y Std 133 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 71 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 71 par18/055OR 714 @ Yarmouth 28/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f3y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Yarmouth 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 71 · 5f42y Sft 131 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 71 par11/065OR 715 @ Kempton 02/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 70 · 6f Sta 135 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f GF 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 69 par17/074OR 695 @ Wolverhampton 17/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 68 · 6f16y Std 133 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 68 par31/085OR 68projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell55th5th0
2026-08-17Wolverhampton55th5th0
2026-07-17Newmarket47th6th+1
2026-07-02Kempton57th7th0
2026-06-11Yarmouth55th5th0
2026-05-28Yarmouth44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0428/0517/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength44%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
27/04/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
18/05/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23
28/05/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
11/06/20265th14/126%0%-0.26
02/07/20267th10/382%40%-0.42
17/07/20267th20/10%0%0.00
17/08/20265th6/168%56%-0.13
31/08/20265th7/163%64%+0.00