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Breakdancer

4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82

Leicester · Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap · 1m 53y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Two all-weather wins last summer. Plenty of creditable efforts in defeat this year, including close third on turf at Ayr (1m, good to firm) last month. Needs to shrug off a lesser run on all-weather since, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 68 · 7f Sta 133 · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 68 par6/085OR 685 @ Southwell 25/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 75 · 1m13y Std 135 · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 75 parC0 @ Meydan 16/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 13116/01C?C0 @ Meydan 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m 134C0 @ Meydan 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f Gd 13213/03C?4 @ Kempton 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 85 · 1m Sta 135 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 85 par4 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 84 · 7f14y Std 141 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 84 par27/074OR 844 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 82 · 1m Goo 132 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m Sta 140 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 83 par19/084OR 83projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Kempton46th6th0
2026-08-08Ayr43rd3rd0
2026-07-27Southwell44th4th0
2026-07-02Kempton48th8th0
2026-03-13Meydan?5th5th0
2026-02-06Meydan?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/086/0227/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength41%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
25/08/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
16/01/20262nd9/276%92%+0.16
06/02/20263rd4/179%87%+0.08
13/03/20265th11/486%73%-0.12
02/07/20268th5/174%22%-0.51
27/07/20264th6/168%73%+0.04
08/08/20263rd14/126%78%+0.51
19/08/20266th15/261%38%-0.23