6
Burdett Estate
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 78
Leicester · Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap · 1m 53y
#14
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Haydock | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |