Glen Nevis
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 76
Leicester · Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap · 1m 53y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Brighton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Redcar | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |