Magnatura
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 75
Leicester · Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap · 1m 53y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 3 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Goodwood | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 19/06/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.18 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 31/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |