7

Aim For The Bull

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 57

Leicester · Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Four wins since February, the latest at Windsor (1m, firm) in June. Ran no sort of race back from a short break at Southwell at the end of August, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 12/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 46 · 1m Std 126 · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 46 par12/026OR 466 @ Southwell 24/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 46 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Southwell 11/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 51 · 7f14y Std 130 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 51 par11/036OR 516 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 51 · 1m Sta 131 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 54 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 54 par11/046OR 546 @ Kempton 06/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 54 · 1m Sta 133 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 53 · 7f216y Goo 133 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 53 par29/056OR 536 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 55 · 1m31y GF 135 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m13y Std 127 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 57 par31/086OR 57projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell614th14th0
2026-06-29Windsor61st1st0
2026-05-29Brighton61st1st0
2026-05-06Kempton64th4th0
2026-04-11Southwell64th4th0
2026-03-25Kempton61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0225/0329/0531/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/02/20267th11/271%14%-0.57
24/02/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
11/03/20267th14/126%25%-0.01
25/03/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
11/04/20264th11/142%63%+0.20
06/05/20264th11/271%63%-0.09
29/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
29/06/20261st18/581%100%+0.19
31/08/202614th22/10%0%0.00