12

Albeyours
5yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 52
Leicester · Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Ayr | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Redcar | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Leicester | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 20/08/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 17/10/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |