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6

Credit Forgedd It

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60

Leicester · Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to win but has placed 4 times since joining this yard, including third of 8 on all-weather at Lingfield (7f) 9 days ago. First-time cheekpieces won't need to give him much extra.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 30/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark30/12/2025 · OR 65 par30/126OR 655 @ Lingfield 03/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m1y Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/01/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 65 · 6f20y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/01/2026 · OR 65 par26/015OR 656 @ Brighton 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 6f210y GF 133 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Epsom Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 61 · 7f3y Goo 131 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 61 par16/076OR 616 @ Epsom Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 61 · 7f3y GF 131 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Lingfield 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 61 · 1m1y Std 130 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 61 par15/086OR 616 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 60 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Lingfield 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 61 · 7f1y Std 131 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 61 par12/096OR 61projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-08-27Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-08-15Lingfield66th6th0
2026-07-30Epsom Downs63rd3rd0
2026-07-16Epsom Downs62nd2nd0
2026-06-30Brighton64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1230/0615/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/12/20252nd3/184%86%+0.02
03/01/20265th9/488%20%-0.68
26/01/20269th9/276%0%-0.76
30/06/20264th28/10%40%+0.40
16/07/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86
30/07/20263rd2/189%67%-0.23
15/08/20266th13/266%0%-0.66
27/08/20262nd17/255%90%+0.35
12/09/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05