3
Cuban Girl
4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 58
Leicester · Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Yarmouth | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 29/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 29/08/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/04/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |