8

Diane Chasseresse

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 59

Leicester · Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap · 7f

#15

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced filly from a good yard but well held in both handicaps. The addition of a hood needs to have a positive effect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 12/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS12/0544 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f16y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS29/0544 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m31y GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS13/0746 @ Nottingham 11/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 63 · 1m2f50y Goo 133 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 63 par11/086OR 636 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 61 · 1m Sta 131 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 61 par9/096OR 61projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton611th11th0
2026-08-11Nottingham68th8th0
2026-07-13Windsor46th4th+2
2026-05-29Chepstow45th3rd+2
2026-05-12Lingfield46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0529/0513/0711/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
29/05/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
13/07/20266th28/10%50%+0.50
11/08/20268th11/486%0%-0.86
09/09/202611th20/10%23%+0.23