Too Much Trevor
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 58
Leicester · Visit racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 2 | 13th | 8th | +4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Chepstow | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Chepstow | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Chepstow | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 31/08/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |