1

Melchizedek

2yo Colt · 9-6

Listowel · Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

Timeform

Commentary

Always behind on debut when thirteenth of 14 in maiden at Leopardstown (7f) last month. Looks to be up against it.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 13.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 13120/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Leopardstown?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 11-16 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength4%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/202613th25/10%8%+0.08