2
Williamsburg
2yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 82
Listowel · Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series) · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -19.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.22 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |