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4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 67
Listowel · GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap · 1m
#15
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Wetherby | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Haydock | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-10-25 | Doncaster | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 3-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength2%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 30/05/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 19/06/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 45% | -0.44 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |