10
Galley Point
4yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 65
Listowel · GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA67 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-14 | Dundalk | BHA69 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Roscommon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Killarney | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Punchestown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |