18
James Henry
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 47
Listowel · GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap · 1m
#17
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA52 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | BHA54 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Killarney | BHA57 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA59 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA59 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Leopardstown | BHA66 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 8% | -0.55 |
| 12/04/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 25/04/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 16/05/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 10/06/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |
| 15/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/08/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |