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9

Summer Snow

6yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 66

Listowel · GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 3 times at 7f/1m in 2025 and, upped in trip, fared better than previously this season when third of 16 at Roscommon (1½m) in August. However, has finished well held last 2 outings, including at Galway 13 days ago. Visor back on returned to shorter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 76 · 1m Std 130 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 76 par7/111OR 76BHA84 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m2f Gd 144 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 84 parBHA83 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 19 · OR 83 · 1m Gd 143 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 83 par24/0583OR 83BHA79 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f Sft 139 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 79 parBHA76 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 76 · 1m Gd 138 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 76 par26/0676OR 76BHA72 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 72 parBHA69 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 69 · 1m4f48y Goo 139 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 69 par18/0869OR 69BHA69 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 69 · 1m4f17y Goo 129 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 69 parBHA68 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 68 · 1m4f Sft 138 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 68 par8/0968OR 68projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA6810th10th0
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA6915th15th0
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA693rd3rd0
2026-08-07Gowran ParkBHA728th8th0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA7617th17th0
2026-06-19Down RoyalBHA795th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1119/0618/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/202511th66/10%23%+0.23
15/05/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
24/05/202615th28/10%22%+0.22
19/06/20265th4/179%50%-0.29
26/06/202617th33/10%16%+0.16
07/08/20268th8/158%36%-0.22
18/08/20263rd14/126%87%+0.60
31/08/202615th40/10%0%0.00
08/09/202610th40/10%36%+0.36