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Vlhova

4yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 72

Listowel · GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful at Killarney last summer on final outing for Kevin Thomas Coleman. Continued in good heart for current yard later in the year (fourth in this same race), but has offered little on both runs back this season. Has been given a chance by the handicapper, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA65 @ Cork 13/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 65 · 1m Goo 135 · beat its mark13/06/2025 · OR 65 par13/0665OR 65BHA65 @ Tipperary 02/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 65 · 1m1f Goo 135 · below its mark02/07/2025 · OR 65 parBHA64 @ Killarney 14/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 64 · 1m20y Yie 126 · beat its mark14/07/2025 · OR 64 par14/0764OR 64BHA70 @ Galway 09/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 70 · 1m98y Sft 140 · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 70 parBHA71 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 71 · 1m Hvy 137 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 71 par22/0971OR 71BHA71 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 71 · 7f24y Hvy 139 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 71 parBHA76 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 76 · 1m Std 136 · below its mark05/11/2025 · OR 76 par5/1176OR 76BHA79 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 79 · 1m2f63y Goo 139 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 79 parBHA77 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 77 · 7f Yie 137 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 77 par28/0777OR 77projClass-projected finish: 12th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28GalwayBHA7712th12th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA7913th13th0
2025-11-05DundalkBHA762nd2nd0
2025-10-19LeopardstownBHA712nd2nd0
2025-09-22ListowelBHA714th4th0
2025-09-09GalwayBHA703rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/069/095/1128/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20253rd12/137%88%+0.51
02/07/202511th11/271%17%-0.54
14/07/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
09/09/20253rd7/163%86%+0.23
22/09/20254th6/168%79%+0.10
19/10/20252nd11/271%89%+0.18
05/11/20252nd12/137%88%+0.51
30/06/202613th11/142%0%-0.42
28/07/202612th18/15%21%+0.16